Grain Terminology by Ken O'Brien

Grain marketing can be one of the most important decisions you make on your farm. It is also one of the most frustrating decisions you will have to make, because grain marketing can be confusing. You are dealing with unfamiliar terminology. Many of you have had some exposure at grain marketing meetings. All of us are exposed to marketing advice in magazines, mailers, radio, and the Internet. New marketing tools are continually being developed, however, until we have a thorough understanding of the terms and phrases, it’s difficult to thoroughly understand the marketing advice, and to make a sound decision. The grain industry is no different than any other industry in that the terms and phrases are often difficult to understand unless you are directly involved with that particular business.

As our world economy and politics become more volatile, the industry is exposed to factors, which are out of our control. It has resulted in a situation in which you must become more aware of true marketing trends and be able to sort out short-term reactions caused by false weather scares, and irrelevant news.

Education is the key to understanding. I have put together some of the common terms and there definitions so that you can become familiar with them. It will be easier to learn and understand marketing advice from all sources if you possess this tool.

Basis

The difference between the cash or spot price and the price of the nearby futures
Contract. Sometimes the word basis is used synonymously with “cash commodity” as in the phrases “long the basis” or “short the basis” meaning that one has bought or sold the cash commodity.

Bear

One who anticipates the market to go lower. Term can be used to label a market. (Bearish)

Bid

An offer to buy a specific quantity of a commodity at a stated price. Meaning wanting to purchase.

Broker

A person paid a fee or commission for acting as an agent in making contracts or sales; (2) Floor broker – in commodities futures trading, a person who actually executes orders on the trading floor of the exchange; (3) Accounting Executive – the person who deals with customers and their orders in commission house offices.

Bull

One who anticipates the market to go higher. Term can be used to label a market. (Bullish)

Buy or Sell on Close or Opening

To buy or sell at the end or the beginning of the trading session at a price within the closing or opening range of prices.

Buying Hedge (or Long Hedge)

Buying futures contracts to protect against possible increased cost of commodities which will be needed in the future.

Carrying Charges

(1) Those costs incurred in warehousing the physical commodity, generally including interest, insurance, and storage; (2) Full Carrying Charge Market – a situation in the futures market when the price difference between delivery months reflects the full costs of interest, insurance, and storage.

Carryover

That part of current supplies of a commodity comprised of stocks from previous production/marketing seasons.

Cash Commodity

Actual stocks of a commodity as distinguished from futures contracts; goods available for immediate delivery within a specified period following sale; or a commodity bought or sold with an agreement for delivery at a specified future date.

Charting

The use of graphs and charts in the technical analysis of futures to plot trends of price movements, average movements of price, and volume and open interest.

Clearing House

An agency connected with commodity exchanges through which all futures contracts are made, offset, or fulfilled through delivery of the actual commodity, and through which financial settlement is made; often is a fully chartered separate corporation, rather than a division of the exchange proper.

Closing Range

A range of closely related prices at which transactions took place at the closing of the market; buying and selling orders at the closing might have been filled at any point within such a range.

Commodities

Usually the raw products of the ground. Lately new items of trade include, mortgage interest rates, currencies, heating and industrial fuel oil.

Commodity Credit Corporation

A government owned corporation established in 1933 to assist US agriculture. The major operations of the CCC are price support programs in which it purchases excess supplies of commodities, and assistance in foreign exports of agricultural commodities.

Cover

To offset a previous futures transaction with an equal and opposite transaction. Short-Covering is a purchase of futures contracts to cover an earlier sale of an equal number of futures contracts at the same delivery month; Liquidation is the sale of futures contracts to offset the obligation to take delivery on an equal number of futures contracts at the same delivery month purchased earlier.

Daily Volume

Totals of contracts traded each day. Later these trades will be off-set with either purchases or sales.

Day Traders

Commodity traders, generally members of the exchange active on the trading floor who take positions in commodities and then liquidate them prior to the close of the same trading day.

Deferred Delivery

(1) Synonymous with forward contracting; (2) The most distant months in which futures trading is taking place, as distinguished from the nearby futures delivery months.

Delivery Month

A calendar month during which a futures contract matures and becomes deliverable.

Discount

(1) A downward adjustment in price allowed for delivery of stocks of a commodity of lesser than deliverable grade against a futures contract; (2) Sometimes used to refer to the price differences between futures of different delivery months, as in phrase “July at a discount to May” indicating that the price of the July futures is lower than that of the May.

Discretionary Account

An arrangement by which the holder of the account gives written power of attorney to another, often his broker, to make buying and selling decisions without notification to the holder; often referred to as the “Managed account,” or “controlled account”.

F.O.B.

Free on Board; indicates that all delivery, inspection, and elevation or loading costs involved in putting commodities on board a carrier have been paid.


First Notice Day

First day on which notices of intention to deliver cash commodities against futures contracts can be presented by sellers and received by buyers through the exchange clearing house.

Forward Contracting

A cash transaction common in many industries, including commodity merchandising, in which the buyer and seller agree upon delivery of a specified quality and quantity of goods at a specific futures date. A specific price may be agreed upon in advance, or there may be an agreement that the price will be determined at the time of delivery on the basis of either the prevailing local price or a futures price.

Fundamental Analysis

An approach to analysis of futures markets and commodity futures price trends which examines the underlying factors which will affect the supply and demand of the commodity being traded in futures contracts. See also Technical Analysis.

Hedger

One who “off-sets” his cash commodity with an equal sale or purchase of a futures contract.

Inverted Market

Futures market in which the nearer months are selling at premiums over the more distant months; characteristically, a market in which supplies are currently in shortage.

Last Trading Day

Day on which trading ceases for the maturing (current) delivery month.

Life of Contract

Period between the beginning of trading in a particular futures and the expiration of trading in the delivery month.

Limit Order

An order in which the customer sets a limit on either price or time of execution, or both, as contracted with a “market order,” which implies that the order should be filled at the most favorable price as soon as possible.

Long

One who has bought a cash commodity or a commodity futures contract, in contrast to a short, who has sold a cash commodity or futures contract.

Margin

(1) An amount of money deposited by both buyers and sellers of futures contracts to insure performance against the contract, is to deliver or trade delivery of the commodity (not an equity or down payment for the goods represented by the futures contract);
(2) Profit margin – the difference between the price which one pays for goods and the price at which the goods or products of them are sold.

Margin Call

A call from a brokerage firm to a customer to bring margin deposits back up to minimum levels required by exchange regulations; similarly, a request by the clearing house to a clearing member firm to make additional deposits to bring clearing margins back to minimum levels required by the clearing house rules.

Market Order

An order to buy or sell futures contracts which is to be filled at the best possible price and as soon as possible. In contrast to a limit order, which may specify requirements for price or time or execution.

Nominal Price

Declared price for a futures month sometimes used in place of a closing price when no recent trading has taken place in that particular delivery month; usually an average of the bid and asked price.

Offer

An indication of willingness to sell at a given price; opposite of bid.

Offset

The liquidation of a purchase of futures through the sale of an equal number of contracts of the same delivery month, or the covering of a short sale of futures contracts through the purchase of an equal number of contracts of the same delivery month. Either action transfers the obligation to make delivery of the actual commodity to other persons.

Open Interest

The total number of futures contracts of a given commodity which have not yet been offset by opposite futures transactions nor fulfilled by delivery of the actual commodity; the total number of open transactions, with each transaction having a buyer and a seller.

Opening Range

Range of closely related prices at which transactions took place at the opening of the market; buying and selling orders at the opening might be filled at any point within such a range.


Original Margin

Term applied to the initial deposit of margin money required of clearing member firms by clearing house rules; parallel to the initial margin deposit required of customers by exchange regulations.

Overbought

A technical opinion that the market price has risen too steeply and too fast in relation to underlying fundamental factors.

Oversold

A technical opinion that the market price has declined too steeply and too fast in relation to underlying fundamental factors.

Round Lot

A quantity of a commodity equal in size to the corresponding futures contract for the commodity, as distinguished from a job lot, which may be larger or smaller than the contract.

Scalper

A speculator on the trading floor of an exchange who buys and sells rapidly, with small profits or losses, holding his positions for only a short time during a trading session. Typically, a scalper will stand ready to buy at a fraction below the last transaction price and sell at a fraction above, thus creating market liquidity.

Selling Hedge (or Short Hedge)

Selling futures contracts to protect against possible decreased prices of commodities which will be sold in the futures.

Settlement Price

The closing price, or a price within the range of closing prices, which is used as the official price in determining net gains or losses at the close of each trading session.

Short

One who has sold a cash commodity or a commodity futures contract, in contrast to a long, who has bought a cash commodity of futures contract.

Speculator

One who attempts to anticipate commodity price changes and make profits through the sale and/or purchase of commodity futures contracts. A speculator with a forecast of advancing prices hopes to profit by buying futures contracts and then liquidating his obligation to take delivery with a later sale of an equal number of futures of the same delivery month or hopes to profit by selling commodity futures contracts and then covering his obligation to deliver with a later purchase of futures at a lower price,

Spread

The purchase of one futures delivery month against the sale of another futures delivery month of the same commodity, the purchase of one delivery month of one commodity against the sale of that same delivery month of a different commodity, or the purchase of one commodity in one market against the sale of that commodity in another market; to take advantage of any profit from distortions from the normal price relationships that sometimes occur. The term “spread” is also used to refer to the difference between the price of one futures month and the price of another month of the same commodity.

Switch

Liquidation of a position in one delivery month of a commodity and simultaneous initiation of a similar position in another delivery month of the same commodity. When used by hedgers this tactic is referred to as “rolling forward” the hedge.

Technical Analysis

An approach to analysis of futures markets and likely futures trends of commodity prices which examine the technical factors of market activity. Technicians normally examine patterns of price changes, rates of change, and changes in volume of trading and open interest. This data is often charted to show trends and formations which will in turn serve as indicators of likely futures price movements.

Tender

The act on the part of the seller of futures contracts of giving notice to the clearing house that he intends to deliver the physical commodity in satisfaction of the futures contract. The clearing in turn passes along the notice to oldest buyer of record in that delivery month of the commodity.

 

  Grain Marketing  by Ken O'Brien

Never before has so much information been so quickly available to so many. The combination of the Internet, cell phones, and e-mail has connected the producers, marketers, terminals, and end users across the world. With the number of marketing tools, and the amount of information available to you today, you would think that your decisions as a producer and a marketer would be getting easier. The opposite however, seems to be true. Actually, more information complicates your job. You now have more decisions to make. You need to filter through what is important and what is not, and try to make a sound decision. So, where do you start?

Know Your Costs

The first thing you MUST do is know your cost of production and the market value of the crop before you plant it. Have those costs on a spreadsheet or in a notebook where you will see them all of the time. You have to be familiar with these numbers to make smart marketing decisions. Don't think that last years numbers will work for you again this year. Things change. Crop inputs, labor, land rent, and supply and demand all affect these numbers. From year to year the corn and soybean price relationships change, and affect your decisions. If you need help putting together a cost analysis, your lender, or accountant can help you. Once you know your costs, you can begin to set price objectives.

You have a large amount of money invested in your farm, in land, and in equipment. It is important to not only have a return on that investment, but also on your time for working on that farm. After all, you do want to eat and make a living. You should strive for a 20% return on your investment and time. Some years you will do better, but some years will not allow that kind of return.

Set a Goal for a Return on Investment

Once you know the costs of planting and harvesting your crop, you can calculate a reasonable return on your investment and time. The total of these, less any government payments, gives you a price objective for each crop and therefore a signal when to sell. If your objective is not met, you will have to decide whether to store the grain or not. Always remember that it costs money to store your grain even if you own your own grain bins. Your money could be earning you interest in the bank if you sold the crop right off the field.

Pull the Trigger

Earlier I said that more information made your marketing and planting decisions more difficult. That's true, but it also allows you to make better decisions. Better that is, if you understand the information you receive, the pricing contracts available to you, and are willing to "pull the trigger" when you meet your price objectives. Receiving consistent smaller profits over time is better than the big profits or losses that result due to poor planning. I believe that many producers do not contract ahead, and miss out on a lot of pricing opportunities because they either don't have a marketing plan, or don't "pull the trigger" because they don't feel confident in their understanding of the contract types.

This can be the hardest part of achieving a profitable farming operation. Due to the futures and options market, it is possible to price your crop before it is in the ground, however, I would never price more than a percentage of your crop before you plant it. Because of this pricing mechanism, many contracts and programs are available for marketing your crop. We will take a look at a few of the most popular contracts and look at the advantages and disadvantages of them. But before we get to that, we must understand the price structure of a grain bid, and where it comes from. I will also give you an outline of a marketing plan, so that you can be thinking about how your cash flow needs play into a market plan, and how it needs to be considered when looking at the different types of contracts.

Price Structure

In order to make good pricing decisions, we need to know how local prices are determined. Any cash price that you receive at your local elevator or river terminal is calculated by combining two factors, the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) futures price and the basis.

FUTURES + BASIS = CASH

The futures MARKET IS A PLACE WHERE PRODUCERS, USERS, AND SPECULATORS come together to discover prices of commodities for specific time frames in the future. Futures contracts are traded on a variety of agricultural commodities including wheat, corn soybeans, soy oil, soybean meal, oats, and livestock. The futures price reflects the world supply and demand situation and the price of a commodity at the delivery point. For corn and soybeans, we use Chicago as the base reference point for delivery.

However, your crop is not at this delivery point, it is on your farm or at your local elevator. Therefore, we have to include the basis factor to reflect local supply and demand situations and transportation costs. The basis is continually changing since barge freight is traded on the CBOT, but it is not usually as volatile as the futures market. The river terminal basis number is made up of three components. First, the cost of handling the grain, which is the unloading of the trucks and the reloading of it on barges. Second the barge transportation costs to get the grain to Chicago. Last, the margin the terminal takes.

So the price you receive for your crop at the local elevator is a price that has been discovered when buyers and sellers meet in a global marketplace, and localized by the basis.

Steps to A Marketing Plan

RECORD THE FOLLOWING:

  • FIXED EXPENSES = family living expenses, insurance, land payments, and major purchases or improvements.
  • VARIABLE EXPENSES = see, pesticide, machinery repairs, fuel, and other out-of-pocket expenses.
  • PRODUCTION = history of production by crop

CALCULATE THE FOLLOWING:

  • FIXED EXPENSE + VARIABLE EXPENSE = COST OF PRODUCTION
  • COST OF PRODUCTION / EXPECTED PRODUCTION = COST PER BUSHEL
  • COST PER BUSHEL x RETURN ON INVESTMENT = EXPECTED RETURN PER BUSHEL      
  • Example  $1.75
  •                 X 20%
  •                 .35
  • COST PER BUSHEL  + EXPECTED RETURN PER BUSHEL = MARKETING PRICE OBJECTIVE
  • Example    $1.75
  •                  + .35
  •                 $2.10
  • PROJECTED CASH FLOWS = revenues and expenditures compared on a monthly or quarterly basis.

DETERMINE THE FOLLOWING:

  • CONTRACTS that will allow you to achieve your MARKET PRICE OBJECTIVE and meet your monthly or quarterly PROJECTED CASH FLOWS.

Types of Contracts:

Cash Sale Contract

Execution:

1. Deliver grain to your local elevator
2. Sell grain at the current bid
3. Receive payment

Strategy:

Use this tool when the cash price has met your objective. The futures and the basis levels may both be at favorable levels or one may be significantly stronger than normal to compensate for the weaker component.

Advantages:

  • Easy to execute
  • Receive payment immediately
  • Eliminates all risk of price decrease
  • No storage costs or risk

Disadvantages:

  • Futures and basis are both locked in
  • Inability to participate in a market rally
  • Delivery is required

Forward Contract

Execution:

1. Contact local elevator to lock in a cash price for some delivery time in the future
2. Deliver grain as required by contract
3. Receive payment

Strategy:

This contract can be used for two different marketing strategies:

1. Use the forward contract to lock in a favorable new crop price before your crop is planted or harvested.
2. The forward contract can also be used to "lock in a carry." The market may pay more for grain delivered at a later date. If the forward price is greater than the current price plus your storage and interest costs, it would be beneficial to lock in the higher price.

Advantages:

  • Easy to execute
  • Eliminates all risks of price decrease
  • Ability to lock in a carry

Disadvantages:

  • No money received until delivery
  • Futures and basis are both locked in
  • Inability to participate in a market rally
  • Delivery is required
  • Potential penalty for cancellation

Basis Fixed Contract

Execution:

1. Contact your local elevator to establish a delivery date, bushel amount, basis level, and pricing time frame.
2. Deliver grain as agreed
3. Establish futures price by pricing date
4. Receive payment

Strategy:

This contract should be used to lock in a favorable basis level and allow time for the futures market to appreciate. Generally, when the futures are low, the basis will be high.

Advantages:

  • Eliminates downside basis risk
  • Avoids service charges
  • Can eliminate storage costs and risks
  • Allows pricing flexibility in the futures

Disadvantages:

  • Title of grain is transferred
  • Full payment is not received until the futures level is established
  • Delivery required
  • Open to futures price risk
  • Requires historic futures and basis knowledge

Futures Fixed Contract

Execution:

1. Contact your local elevator to establish a delivery date, bushel amount, futures level, and pricing time frame.
2. Deliver grain as agreed
3 Establish basis level by pricing date
4 Receive payment

Strategy:

This contract should be used when the futures price is relatively high and the basis is low. The futures and basis may often move in opposite directions.

Advantages:

  • Eliminates downside futures risk
  • Avoids service charges
  • Can eliminate storage costs and risk
  • Allows pricing flexibility in the basis

Disadvantages:

  • May have minimum bushel requirement
  • Title of grain is transferred
  • Payment is not received until basis level is established
  • Delivery is required
  • Requires pricing within time frame
  • Open to basis risk
  • Requires historical futures and basis knowledge

Minimum Price Contract

Execution:

1. Contact local elevator to establish delivery date, bushel amount, minimum cash price, and final pricing deadline.
2. Deliver grain by delivery date
3. Receive minimum price payment
4. Monitor futures market to capture futures price appreciation as allowed by the contract
5. If futures price appreciates within the specified time, contact your local elevator to establish final price.
6. Receive any additional payment.

Strategy:

This contact should be used when the minimum price meets your price objective or you feel upside price potential is limited. The minimum price portion of the contract allows you to participate in a futures market rally due to unforeseen circumstances.

Advantages:

  • Guaranteed minimum price
  • Payment received when minimum price is established and grain is delivered
  • Eliminates storage and interest costs
  • Pricing flexibility in the futures

Disadvantages:

  • Delivery is required
  • May have minimum bushel requirements
  • Required to determine contract time frame
  • Unable to participate in basis appreciation

Delayed Price Contract

Execution:

1 Deliver grain to elevator
2 Establish service charge and pricing time frame for the contract
3 Price at some time in the future
4 Receive payment at time of pricing

Strategy:

This contract does not lock in any component of the price structure. This contract should only be used when the cash price is expected to appreciate enough to cover all service charges and interest expense.

Advantages:

  • Allows pricing flexibility in the futures and basis
  • Delivery and pricing do not coincide
  • Transfers storage risk
  • Ability to take advantage of carry markets

Disadvantages:

  • Title of grain is transferred upon contract
  • No payment is received until price is established
  • Delivery is required
  • Interest and service charges accrue
  • Market must appreciate or develop a carry (prices higher for later time frame)
  • Open to futures and basis risk

Hedging with Put Options

Execution:

1. Open an account with a registered Futures Commission Merchant (broker) and deposit money for premium costs.
2. Call your broker and discuss which option will best lock in the futures level to achieve your price objective
3. Place and order with your broker to buy a put (the right to sell the futures market) You have now guaranteed a minimum futures level
4. When basis levels are favorable, sell cash grain to your local elevator
5. Call your broker and sell your put to lift your hedge
6. Deliver cash grain and receive payment
7. Proceeds equal cash price plus profits from option sale
8. ALTERNATIVE - If the futures market appreciates significantly, you could let your put expire worthless and sell your grain at the higher cash price.

Strategy:

This tool allows you to lock in a minimum futures price and still participate in a significant futures rally. It is your right to use the put, but you have no obligation.

Advantages:

  • Eliminates downside futures risk
  • Pricing flexibility on the futures and basis
  • Opportunity to participate in a futures rally

Disadvantages:

  • Put premium may not be cost effective
  • Sacrifices your premium with a significant price rally
  • Required to have your own futures and options account
  • Open to downside basis risk

 

 
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